GOALSENSE
MASUK
PREDIKSI AI Projects FT 1–1 · TOLUCA 38%
CONF 42 FULL ANALYSIS →
Liga MX · APERTURA - 3 · SEN, 3 AGT · 08:10 WIB LOCAL
TOLUCA
5TH · 30 PTS · LAST 5:
L W L L W
45'
2 – 1
HT · 2-1
NECAXA
W W L D D
· 15TH · 18 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 29' Ivan López ⚽ 45+5' Jesús Ricardo Angulo
GOL
⚽ 42' Julián Carranza
PREDICTIONS
⚡ LIVE TRACKER

Last action · Toluca · 45'

LIVE
NECAXA TOLUCA

Last event marker · ball-position telemetry not available for this league

📈 MOMENTUM · ATTACK WAVE

Last 30 minutes · who has the upper hand

TOLUCA NECAXA
⚽ 29' ⚽ 42' ⚽ 45' TOLUCA NECAXA 15' 30' 45'
Event density · 3-min buckets
📊 LIVE STATS

Updates every refresh · Minute 45'

0.76
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.19
73%
BALL POSSESSION %
27%
11
TOTAL SHOTS
4
4
SHOTS ON TARGET
2
91%
PASS ACCURACY %
74%
3
CORNERS
1
MOMEN PENTING 3 events
  1. 29'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Ivan López · assist Jesús Gallardo
    TOL
  2. 42'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Julián Carranza · assist Alexis Peña
    NEC
  3. 45'+5
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Jesús Ricardo Angulo
    TOL
LIVE STATS H vs A
ATTACK
0.8
xG
1.2
11.0
TOTAL SHOTS
4.0
4.0
ON TARGET
2.0
3.0
OFF TARGET
1.0
4.0
BLOCKED
1.0
POSSESSION
73.0%
POSSESSION %
27.0%
336.0
PASSES
128.0
91.0%
PASS ACCURACY
74.0%
SET PIECES
3.0
CORNERS
1.0
DISCIPLINE
5.0
FOULS
6.0
0.0
GK SAVES
3.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
TOLUCA 6 shots
Alexis Vega
1/2
Jesús Gallardo
1/2
Ivan López
1/1
Jesús Ricardo Angulo
0/1
NECAXA 1 shots
Julián Carranza
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 0.76 – 1.19
1 0.7 0.5 0.2 1.2 0.0 HT 29' 45' 42' H 0.76 A 1.19 KO 30' 60' 45'

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps butuh broadcast partner (Q3)
H 67%
33% A
2
EVENT TERCATAT
1
EVENT TERCATAT
SUSUNAN PEMAIN 4-2-3-1 vs 3-4-2-1
4-2-3-1
3-4-2-1
22
LUIS GARC
 7.2
20
JESúS GAL
6
FEDERICO
25
EVERARDO
19
SANTIAGO
 6.9
5
FRANCO RO
29
JORGE DíA
 7.5
9
ALEXIS VE
35
ÉRICK GUT
 6.7
10
JESúS RIC
 7.3
21
IVAN LóPE
 6.9
12
LUIS JIME
 6.9
3
AGUSTíN O
4
ALEXIS PE
33
RAúL MART
88
CARLOS VA
 6.9
6
DANNY LEY
8
LORENZO F
30
RICARDO M
10
JAVIER RU
11
JUAN TORR
 7.2
9
JULIáN CA
SUBSTITUTES · TOLUCA
24
Fernando Arc...
M
15
Pavel Pérez
M
11
Helinho
F
7
Víctor Guzmá...
M
3
Antonio Bris...
D
17
Brian García
D
13
Luan
D
4
Bruno Méndez
D
1
Hugo Gonzale...
G
16
Federico Viñ...
F
COACH: Ricardo Mohamed Matijevich Antonio
SUBSTITUTES · NECAXA
90
Juan Valenci...
F
21
Matías Espín...
M
14
Mauro Zaleta
M
99
Emilio Rodri...
M
16
Pedro Pedraz...
M
17
Rogelio Cort...
M
5
Kaiky Naves
D
20
Francisco Mé...
D
1
Christopher...
G
27
Miguel Pedro...
F
COACH: Martin Varini
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
TOL · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

NEC · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
WASIT
TBA
~24h before kick-off
TOL MANAGER
Ricardo Mohamed Matijevich Antonio
pelatih
NEC MANAGER
Martin Varini
pelatih
HEAD-TO-HEAD · SEPANJANG MASA
8
TOL WINS
2
SERI
0
NEC WINS
80%
20%
25 – 8
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
3.30
RATA-RATA GOL / PERTANDINGAN
PERTEMUAN TERKINI SHOWING 5 / 10
22 Feb 2026
Necaxa
0 – 3
Toluca
W
13 Jul 2025
Toluca
3 – 1
Necaxa
W
9 Mar 2025
Toluca
5 – 2
Necaxa
W
28 Okt 2024
Necaxa
1 – 3
Toluca
W
11 Feb 2024
Necaxa
3 – 3
Toluca
D
TOLUCA 5 TERAKHIR KESELURUHAN
L W L L W
NECAXA 5 TERAKHIR KESELURUHAN
W W L D D
LIVE IMPACT Currently 2–1 · scenario projection
TOLUCA #5
If win holds: 33 pts
Playoffs
NECAXA #15
If loss holds: 18 pts
KONTEKS LIGA FULL TABLE →
# TIM P W D L GD PTS PERFORMA
1 U.N.A.M. - Pumas 17 10 6 1 +17 36
L D W L D
2 Guadalajara Chivas 17 11 3 3 +16 36
L D W L D
3 Cruz Azul 17 9 6 2 +13 33
W D W D W
4 Pachuca 17 9 4 4 +6 31
L W W W L
5 Toluca 17 8 6 3 +12 30
L L W L L
6 Atlas 17 7 5 5 -2 26
L L W D W
7 Tigres UANL 17 7 4 6 +10 25
L W W D D
8 Club America 17 7 4 6 +3 25
D D L W W
9 Club Tijuana 17 5 8 4 +2 23
D W D W W
10 Leon 17 7 1 9 -10 22
L L W W W
11 Club Queretaro 17 4 8 5 -4 20
W D D W D
12 FC Juarez 17 5 4 8 -6 19
W L L L D
13 Monterrey 17 5 3 9 -2 18
L W L D L
14 Atletico San Luis 17 5 3 9 -3 18
L W L D W
15 Necaxa 17 5 3 9 -6 18
L D D L W
16 Mazatlán 17 4 3 10 -15 15
L W D L L
17 Puebla 17 3 4 10 -13 13
L L L L D
18 Santos Laguna 17 3 3 11 -18 12
W L L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
LIVE COMMENTARY LIVE
  • 45'+5
    Goal · Normal Goal · Jesús Ricardo Angulo
  • 42'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Julián Carranza
  • 29'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Ivan López
14 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 14 BOOKMAKERS
TOLUCA WIN
1.45
69% implied
↑ best 1.49
DRAW
4.53
22.1% implied
↑ best 4.81
NECAXA WIN
5.94
16.8% implied
↑ best 6.26

Market favors Toluca. AI projects TOLUCA 38%.

ODDS PEMENANG PERTANDINGAN rata-rata dari bandar
AI BILANG TOLUCA 38% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BANDAR 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.46 4.70 5.90 +12.7%
1xBet 1.45 4.50 6.18 +11.8%
888Sport 1.44 4.00 5.50 +9.8%
Bet365 1.45 4.75 6.25 +12.9%
Betano 1.47 4.60 6.00 +12.3%
Betfair 1.44 4.60 6.00 +12.3%
BetVictor 1.44 4.75 6.00 +12.9%
Dafabet 1.48 4.80 6.00 +13.2%
Marathonbet 1.44 4.50 6.15 +11.8%
Pinnacle 1.49 4.81 6.26 +13.2%
SBO 1.43 4.40 5.61 +11.3%
Superbet 1.47 4.65 5.70 +12.5%
Unibet 1.46 4.35 6.10 +11.6%
William Hill 1.44 4.00 5.50 +9.8%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

rata-rata dari bandar
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.13 U 5.42
2.5 O 1.46 U 2.57
3.5 O 2.18 U 1.65
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.58 11 bks
NO
2.23 11 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 3.29
Away -0.5 2.65
Away -0.75 2.36
Away -1 2.12
Away -1.25 1.83
Away -1.5 1.64
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

Bagaimana pasar bergeser sebelum kickoff

pergerakan line historis
7d ago 3d 1d KICKOFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.