GOALSENSE
MASUK
PREDIKSI AI Projects FT 1–1 · NACIONAL 38%
CONF 48 FULL ANALYSIS →
Primeira Liga · REGULAR SEASON - 2 · MIN, 16 AGT · 21:30 WIB LOCAL
NACIONAL
14TH · 34 PTS · LAST 5:
D W L L W
FT
2 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
ESTORIL
D L D D L
· 10TH · 39 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 68' Ze Vitor ⚽ 77' Léo Santos
GOL
Ze Vitor
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Ze Vitor
Nacional · 87 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 70% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
8.5
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

2.08
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.82
59%
BALL POSSESSION %
41%
20
TOTAL SHOTS
9
3
SHOTS ON TARGET
5
87%
PASS ACCURACY %
80%
7
CORNERS
4
MOMEN PENTING 18 events
  1. 11'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Xeka
    EST
  2. 32'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Xeka
    EST
  3. 32'
    Card · Red Card
    Xeka
    EST
  4. 51'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Matheus Dias
    NAC
  5. 63'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Rafik Guitane · assist Fabrício Garcia
    EST
  6. 63'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    André Lacximicant · assist Tiago Brito
    EST
  7. 66'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Miguel Baeza · assist Deivison Souza Brito
    NAC
  8. 66'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Matheus Dias · assist Stavros Gavriel
    NAC
  9. 68'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Ze Vitor · assist Léo Santos
    NAC
  10. 75'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Ricard Sánchez · assist Pedro Carvalho
    EST
  11. 75'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Fernando Medrano · assist Gonçalo Costa
    EST
  12. 77'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Léo Santos · assist Daniel Júnior
    NAC
  13. 79'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Filipe Soares
    NAC
  14. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Daniel Júnior · assist Daniel De la Cruz
    NAC
  15. 82'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Ismael Sierra Arnal
    EST
  16. 85'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Antef Tsoungui · assist Jandro Orellana
    EST
  17. 85'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Ferro
    EST
  18. 88'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Pablo Messias Cardozo · assist Joel Silva
    NAC
RATING PEMAIN · TOP 5 SETIAP TIM 0–10 scale
NACIONAL AVG 7.8
ESTORIL AVG 6.9
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
2.1
xG
0.8
20.0
TOTAL SHOTS
9.0
3.0
ON TARGET
5.0
9.0
OFF TARGET
3.0
8.0
BLOCKED
1.0
POSSESSION
59.0%
POSSESSION %
41.0%
445.0
PASSES
309.0
87.0%
PASS ACCURACY
80.0%
SET PIECES
7.0
CORNERS
4.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
0.0
DISCIPLINE
12.0
FOULS
13.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
4.0
0.0
RED CARDS
1.0
5.0
GK SAVES
1.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
NACIONAL 7 shots
Ze Vitor
1/2
Léo Santos
1/2
Daniel Júnior
0/1
Markus Jensen
0/1
Stavros Gavriel
1/1
ESTORIL 1 shots
João Carvalho
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 2.08 – 0.82
1.7 1.2 0.8 0.4 2.1 0.0 HT 68' 77' H 2.08 A 0.82 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps butuh broadcast partner (Q3)
H 44%
56% A
8
EVENT TERCATAT
10
EVENT TERCATAT
SUSUNAN PEMAIN 3-4-2-1 vs 4-2-3-1
3-4-2-1
4-2-3-1
1
RENATO MA
 8.5
38
ZE VITOR
6
MATHEUS D
 8.3
34
LéO SANTO
 7.3
7
MARKUS JE
22
FILIPE SO
28
LIZIERO
52
WESLEY GA
 7.5
10
DANIEL Jú
8
MIGUEL BA
99
PABLO MES
 6.7
1
JOEL ROBL
 6.7
3
FERNANDO
15
ISMAEL SI
 7.0
4
FERRO
2
RICARD Sá
5
ANTEF TSO
8
XEKA
7
ANDRé LAC
 7.3
12
JOãO CARV
99
RAFIK GUI
14
YANIS BEG
SUBSTITUTES · NACIONAL
15
Chiheb Labid...
M
2
Daniel De la...
D
23
Mateus Jose...
M
88
Deivison Sou...
M
11
Stavros Gavr...
M
26
Joel Silva
M
33
Francisco Go...
D
14
Ivanildo Fer...
D
50
Kevyn
G
13
João Gonçalv...
G
30
Martim Gusta...
M
COACH: Giao Joao
SUBSTITUTES · ESTORIL
18
Gonçalo Cost...
D
90
Tiago Brito
M
80
Luis Gomes
M
6
Jandro Orell...
M
25
Stelios Andr...
D
19
Tiago Parent...
D
22
Pedro Carval...
D
42
Jordan Arnol...
D
16
Martin Turk
G
23
Diogo Dias
G
98
Fabrício Gar...
F
COACH: Vasco Matos
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
NAC · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

EST · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
WASIT
Bruno Jose Ribeiro Pires Costa, Portugal
—
NAC MANAGER
Giao Joao
pelatih
EST MANAGER
Vasco Matos
pelatih
HEAD-TO-HEAD · SEPANJANG MASA
3
NAC WINS
2
SERI
4
EST WINS
33.3%
22.2%
44.4%
11 – 10
TOTAL GOALS · 9 MEETINGS
2.33
RATA-RATA GOL / PERTANDINGAN
PERTEMUAN TERKINI SHOWING 5 / 10
15 Mar 2026
Nacional
0 – 1
Estoril
L
26 Okt 2025
Estoril
1 – 1
Nacional
D
16 Feb 2025
Nacional
2 – 2
Estoril
D
16 Sep 2024
Estoril
1 – 0
Nacional
L
14 Des 2019
Estoril
1 – 2
Nacional
W
NACIONAL 5 TERAKHIR KESELURUHAN
D W L L W
ESTORIL 5 TERAKHIR KESELURUHAN
D L D D L
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–0 · result locked
NACIONAL #14
Won · already at 34 pts
ESTORIL #10
Lost · already at 39 pts
KONTEKS LIGA FULL TABLE →
# TIM P W D L GD PTS PERFORMA
1 FC Porto 34 28 4 2 +48 88
W L W W W
2 Sporting CP 34 25 7 2 +65 82
W W W D D
3 Benfica 34 23 11 0 +49 80
W D D W W
4 SC Braga 34 16 11 7 +28 59
D D D L W
5 Famalicao 34 15 11 8 +13 56
W D D W D
6 GIL Vicente 34 13 11 10 +9 50
L L D W L
7 Moreirense 34 12 7 15 -12 43
D L W L W
8 Arouca 34 12 6 16 -17 42
W W D L W
9 Guimaraes 34 12 6 16 -12 42
L L L W W
10 Estoril 34 10 9 15 -3 39
L D D L L
11 Alverca 34 10 9 15 -17 39
L D L W L
12 Rio Ave 34 8 12 14 -22 36
D L D L D
13 Santa Clara 34 9 9 16 -9 36
L W D W D
14 Nacional 34 9 7 18 -8 34
W L L W W
15 Estrela 34 6 12 16 -18 30
D D L L L
16 Casa Pia 34 6 12 16 -26 30
D W L L L
17 Tondela 34 6 10 18 -28 28
L W W D L
18 AVS 34 3 12 19 -40 21
D W W D D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 88'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Pablo Messias Cardozo
  • 85'
    Card · Yellow Card · Ferro
  • 85'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Antef Tsoungui
  • 82'
    Card · Yellow Card · Ismael Sierra Arnal
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Daniel Júnior
  • 79'
    Card · Yellow Card · Filipe Soares
  • 77'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Léo Santos
  • 75'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Fernando Medrano
  • 75'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Ricard Sánchez
  • 68'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Ze Vitor
  • 66'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Matheus Dias
  • 66'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Miguel Baeza
  • 63'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · André Lacximicant
  • 63'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Rafik Guitane
  • 51'
    Card · Yellow Card · Matheus Dias
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 0
  • 32'
    Card · Red Card · Xeka
  • 32'
    Card · Yellow Card · Xeka
  • 11'
    Card · Yellow Card · Xeka
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
NACIONAL WIN
2.75
36.4% implied
↑ best 2.92
DRAW
3.25
30.8% implied
↑ best 3.40
ESTORIL WIN
2.51
39.8% implied
↑ best 2.60

Market favors Estoril. AI projects NACIONAL 38%.

ODDS PEMENANG PERTANDINGAN rata-rata dari bandar
AI BILANG NACIONAL 38% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BANDAR 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.60 3.30 2.60 +1.7%
1xBet 2.89 3.32 2.60 +3.4%
888Sport 2.75 3.10 2.50 +1.6%
Bet365 2.88 3.30 2.45 +3.3%
Betano 2.87 3.25 2.52 +3.2%
Betfair 2.70 3.40 2.45 +2.6%
BetVictor 2.70 3.25 2.38 +1.2%
Dafabet 2.85 3.35 2.55 +2.9%
Marathonbet 2.78 3.20 2.50 +2.0%
Pinnacle 2.92 3.30 2.58 +3.8%
SBO 2.51 3.08 2.46 -0.5%
Unibet 2.60 3.30 2.60 +1.7%
William Hill 2.75 3.10 2.50 +1.6%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

rata-rata dari bandar
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.27 U 3.53
2.5 O 1.89 U 1.88
3.5 O 3.18 U 1.32
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.67 10 bks
NO
2.09 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.58
Away -0.5 1.44
Away -0.75 1.29
Away -1 1.15
Away -1.25 1.11
Away -1.5 1.11
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

Bagaimana pasar bergeser sebelum kickoff

pergerakan line historis
7d ago 3d 1d KICKOFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.