GOALSENSE
MASUK
Primeira Liga · REGULAR SEASON - 32 · SAB, 2 MEI · 21:30 WIB LOCAL
← Match Page
MOREIRENSE
⏱ KICK-OFF IN
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JAM
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MENIT
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DETIK
Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas · 13,000 capacity
ESTRELA
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
PRE-MATCH MODEL
CONF 44/100 LOW
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
MOR
1 – 0
EST
most likely scoreline · 16.5% probability
PILIHAN AI MOREIRENSE TO WIN 48%
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

BAGAIMANA AI LIHAT PERTANDINGAN

PRE-MATCH
MOR WIN 48%
SERI 28%
EST WIN 24%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
DOUBLE CHANCE — 1X

Tight 1X2 — single-side too risky. Double chance covers 76% of outcomes with smaller payout.

CONF 76% avoid: 1X2 single 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Moreirense slight home favourite but poor recent form and Estrela's away defensive record keep this competitive; draw is live.

🤖 AI REASONING kenapa AI pilih ini
WHY MOREIRENSE FAVORED
48%
Moreirense home form WLLDL (mixed, 2W-2L-1D) lacks consistency despite home venue
+25.0%
WHY ESTRELA CHALLENGED
24%
Estrela away form LLLDL (very weak—just 1 draw in 5 road games) supports home edge
+20.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • Both teams identical GF (34) but Moreirense better GD (−11 vs −17); Estrela bottom-half form (LLLLW) suggests limited threat
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

TIMELINE PROBABILITAS

Bagaimana AI re-proyeksi setelah setiap event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 0 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

PROBABILITAS SCORELINE

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 16.5%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
15.0
12.0
4.8
1.3
0.3
·
·
1
16.5
13.2
5.3
1.4
0.3
·
·
2
9.1
7.2
2.9
0.8
0.2
·
·
3
3.3
2.7
1.1
0.3
0.1
·
·
4
0.9
0.7
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
1 — 0 16.5%
0 — 0 15.0%
1 — 1 13.2%
0 — 1 12.0%
2 — 0 9.1%
Top 5 = 65.6% · rest 34.4%