GOALSENSE
MASUK
PREDIKSI AI Projects FT 3–2 · HAMBURGER SV 92% · Value: Over 2.5 94%
CONF 84 FULL ANALYSIS →
Bundesliga · REGULAR SEASON - 33 · MIN, 10 MEI · 20:30 WIB LOCAL
HAMBURGER SV
13TH · 38 PTS · LAST 5:
D W L L L
FT
3 – 2
FULL TIME HT · 1-1
SC FREIBURG
W W D L L
· 7TH · 47 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 14' Bakery Jatta ⚽ 64' Luka Vušković ⚽ 67' Fabio Baldé
GOL
⚽ 16' Igor Matanović ⚽ 87' Igor Matanović
Igor Matanović
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Igor Matanović
SC Freiburg · 93 mins
⚽ 2 goals · 8% pass acc · 2 shots on
RATING
8.5
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Bundesliga: Hamburger SV vs SC Freiburg
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.63
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.51
47%
BALL POSSESSION %
53%
13
TOTAL SHOTS
5
5
SHOTS ON TARGET
3
83%
PASS ACCURACY %
83%
2
CORNERS
4
MOMEN PENTING 18 events
  1. 14'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Bakery Jatta · assist Albert Grønbæk
    HAM
  2. 16'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Igor Matanović · assist Lukas Kübler
    SC
  3. 20'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Lukas Kübler
    SC
  4. 59'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Johan Manzambi · assist Nicolas Höfler
    SC
  5. 59'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Jan-Niklas Beste · assist Jordy Makengo
    SC
  6. 64'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Luka Vušković
    HAM
  7. 65'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Luka Vušković
    HAM
  8. 66'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Bakery Jatta · assist Fabio Baldé
    HAM
  9. 66'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Otto Stange · assist Rayan Philippe
    HAM
  10. 67'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Fabio Baldé · assist Nicolai Remberg
    HAM
  11. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Bruno Ogbus · assist Philipp Lienhart
    SC
  12. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Lukas Kübler · assist Derry Scherhant
    SC
  13. 71'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Matthias Ginter · assist Anthony Jung
    SC
  14. 80'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Albert Sambi Lokonga · assist Yussuf Poulsen
    HAM
  15. 86'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Lucas Höler
    SC
  16. 86'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Nicolás Capaldo
    HAM
  17. 87'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Igor Matanović · assist Vincenzo Grifo
    SC
  18. 90'+6
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Luka Vušković · assist Shafiq Nandja
    HAM
RATING PEMAIN · TOP 5 SETIAP TIM 0–10 scale
HAMBURGER SV AVG 7.6
SC FREIBURG AVG 7.2
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.6
xG
0.5
13.0
TOTAL SHOTS
5.0
5.0
ON TARGET
3.0
3.0
OFF TARGET
2.0
5.0
BLOCKED
0.0
POSSESSION
47.0%
POSSESSION %
53.0%
417.0
PASSES
461.0
83.0%
PASS ACCURACY
83.0%
SET PIECES
2.0
CORNERS
4.0
0.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
14.0
FOULS
8.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
1.0
GK SAVES
2.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
HAMBURGER SV 4 shots
Luka Vušković
2/2
Fabio Baldé
1/1
Fábio Vieira
0/1
SC FREIBURG 3 shots
Igor Matanović
2/3
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.63 – 0.51
1.3 1 0.7 0.3 1.6 0.0 HT 14' 64' 67' 16' 87' H 1.63 A 0.51 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps butuh broadcast partner (Q3)
H 50%
50% A
9
EVENT TERCATAT
9
EVENT TERCATAT
SUSUNAN PEMAIN 3-4-2-1 vs 4-2-3-1
3-4-2-1
4-2-3-1
1
DANIEL FE
17
WARMED OM
 8.0
44
LUKA VUšK
24
NICOLáS C
 7.9
23
ALBERT GR
6
ALBERT SA
 7.3
21
NICOLAI R
18
BAKERY JA
11
RANSFORD
 7.2
20
FáBIO VIE
49
OTTO STAN
1
NOAH ATUB
29
PHILIPP T
43
BRUNO OGB
 6.7
28
MATTHIAS
17
LUKAS KüB
 6.9
44
JOHAN MAN
8
MAXIMILIA
32
VINCENZO
9
LUCAS HöL
19
JAN-NIKLA
 8.5
31
IGOR MATA
SUBSTITUTES · HAMBURGER SV
14
Rayan Philip...
F
45
Fabio Baldé
F
27
Philip Otele
F
8
Daniel Elfad...
M
37
Louis Lemke
D
43
Shafiq Nandj...
D
25
Jordan Torun...
D
12
Sander Tangv...
G
15
Yussuf Pouls...
F
COACH: Merlin Polzin
SUBSTITUTES · SC FREIBURG
7
Derry Scherh...
F
27
Nicolas Höfl...
M
22
Cyriaque Iri...
F
33
Jordy Makeng...
D
5
Anthony Jung
D
3
Philipp Lien...
D
30
Christian Gü...
D
21
Florian Müll...
G
26
Maximilian P...
F
COACH: Julian Schuster
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
HAM · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

SC · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
WASIT
Felix Zwayer, Germany
—
HAM MANAGER
Merlin Polzin
pelatih
SC MANAGER
Julian Schuster
pelatih
HEAD-TO-HEAD · SEPANJANG MASA
1
HAM WINS
4
SERI
5
SC WINS
10%
40%
50%
9 – 17
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.60
RATA-RATA GOL / PERTANDINGAN
PERTEMUAN TERKINI SHOWING 5 / 10
10 Jan 2026
SC Freiburg
2 – 1
Hamburger SV
L
31 Okt 2024
SC Freiburg
2 – 1
Hamburger SV
L
20 Apr 2022
Hamburger SV
1 – 3
SC Freiburg
L
21 Apr 2018
Hamburger SV
1 – 0
SC Freiburg
W
2 Des 2017
SC Freiburg
0 – 0
Hamburger SV
D
HAMBURGER SV 5 TERAKHIR KESELURUHAN
D W L L L
SC FREIBURG 5 TERAKHIR KESELURUHAN
W W D L L
MATCH IMPACT Final 3–2 · result locked
HAMBURGER SV #13
Won · already at 38 pts
SC FREIBURG #7
Lost · already at 47 pts
Conference League Qualification
KONTEKS LIGA FULL TABLE →
# TIM P W D L GD PTS PERFORMA
1 Bayern München 34 28 5 1 +86 89
W W D W W
2 Borussia Dortmund 34 22 7 5 +36 73
W W L W L
3 RB Leipzig 34 20 5 9 +19 65
L W L W W
4 VfB Stuttgart 34 18 8 8 +22 62
D W D D L
5 1899 Hoffenheim 34 18 7 9 +13 61
L W D W W
6 Bayer Leverkusen 34 17 8 9 +21 59
D L W W L
7 SC Freiburg 34 13 8 13 -6 47
W L D L W
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34 11 11 12 -4 44
D L L D L
9 FC Augsburg 34 12 7 15 -16 43
L W W D W
10 FSV Mainz 05 34 10 10 14 -9 40
W L W L D
11 Union Berlin 34 10 9 15 -14 39
W W D L L
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach 34 9 11 14 -11 38
W L W D D
13 Hamburger SV 34 9 11 14 -14 38
D W W L L
14 1. FC Köln 34 7 11 16 -14 32
L L D L D
15 Werder Bremen 34 8 8 18 -23 32
L L L D W
16 VfL Wolfsburg 34 7 8 19 -24 29
W L D D W
17 1. FC Heidenheim 34 6 8 20 -31 26
L W D W L
18 FC St. Pauli 34 6 8 20 -31 26
L L L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+6
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Luka Vušković
  • 87'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Igor Matanović
  • 86'
    Card · Yellow Card · Nicolás Capaldo
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
  • 86'
    Card · Yellow Card · Lucas Höler
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
  • 80'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Albert Sambi Lokonga
  • 71'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Matthias Ginter
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Lukas Kübler
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Bruno Ogbus
  • 67'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Fabio Baldé
  • 66'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Otto Stange
  • 66'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Bakery Jatta
  • 65'
    Card · Yellow Card · Luka Vušković
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
  • 64'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Luka Vušković
  • 59'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Jan-Niklas Beste
  • 59'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Johan Manzambi
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 1
  • 20'
    Card · Yellow Card · Lukas Kübler
    Tripping
  • 16'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Igor Matanović
  • 14'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Bakery Jatta
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
HAMBURGER SV WIN
2.70
37% implied
↑ best 2.82
DRAW
3.60
27.8% implied
↑ best 3.80
SC FREIBURG WIN
2.45
40.8% implied
↑ best 2.52

Market favors SC Freiburg. AI projects HAMBURGER SV 92% · value bet Over 2.5.

ODDS PEMENANG PERTANDINGAN rata-rata dari bandar
AI BILANG HAMBURGER SV 92% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BANDAR 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.62 3.60 2.45 +53.8%
1xBet 2.82 3.80 2.52 +56.5%
888Sport 2.63 3.40 2.40 +54.0%
Bet365 2.70 3.70 2.45 +55.0%
Betano 2.75 3.60 2.42 +55.6%
Betfair 2.70 3.60 2.40 +55.0%
BetVictor 2.70 3.50 2.40 +55.0%
Dafabet 2.75 3.65 2.48 +55.6%
Marathonbet 2.77 3.74 2.48 +55.9%
Pinnacle 2.77 3.73 2.51 +55.9%
SBO 2.61 3.38 2.50 +53.7%
Unibet 2.70 3.60 2.38 +55.0%
William Hill 2.62 3.50 2.40 +53.8%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

rata-rata dari bandar
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.19 U 4.43
2.5 O 1.66 U 2.23
3.5 O 2.58 U 1.47
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.52 10 bks
NO
2.40 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.61
Away -0.5 1.47
Away -0.75 1.32
Away -1 1.19
Away -1.25 1.15
Away -1.5 1.13
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

Bagaimana pasar bergeser sebelum kickoff

pergerakan line historis
7d ago 3d 1d KICKOFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.