GOALSENSE
MASUK
PREDIKSI AI Projects FT 1–0 · GUIMARAES 45%
CONF 38 FULL ANALYSIS →
Primeira Liga · REGULAR SEASON - 1 · MIN, 9 AGT · 00:00 WIB LOCAL
GUIMARAES
9TH · 42 PTS · LAST 5:
L L L W W
FT
0 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
AROUCA
W W D L W
· 8TH · 42 PTS · LAST 5
GOL
⚽ 53' Ivan Barbero
Javi Sánchez
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Javi Sánchez
Arouca · 73 mins
· 39% pass acc
RATING
7.7
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

2.22
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.49
58%
BALL POSSESSION %
42%
24
TOTAL SHOTS
4
3
SHOTS ON TARGET
2
87%
PASS ACCURACY %
79%
5
CORNERS
2
MOMEN PENTING 18 events
  1. 53'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Ivan Barbero · assist Naïs Djouahra
    ARO
  2. 64'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Hyun-ju Lee
    ARO
  3. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Mateo Flores · assist Orest Lebedenko
    ARO
  4. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Ivan Barbero · assist Dylan Nandín
    ARO
  5. 69'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Oumar Camara
    GUI
  6. 69'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Miguel Maga · assist Tony Strata
    GUI
  7. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Oumar Camara · assist Telmo Arcanjo
    GUI
  8. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Hyun-ju Lee · assist Pablo Gozálbez
    ARO
  9. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Espen Van Ee · assist Pedro Santos
    ARO
  10. 73'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Javi Sánchez · assist Diogo Monteiro
    ARO
  11. 78'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Alioune Ndoye · assist Miguel Nogueira
    GUI
  12. 78'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Gonçalo Nogueira · assist Matija Mitrović
    GUI
  13. 90'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Diogo Monteiro
    ARO
  14. 90'+2
    Card · Yellow Card
    Orest Lebedenko
    ARO
  15. 90'+3
    Card · Red Card
    Diogo Monteiro
    ARO
  16. 90'+4
    Card · Yellow Card
    Ignacio de Arruabarrena
    ARO
  17. 90'+6
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Gustavo Silva · assist Lohann Doucet
    GUI
  18. 90'+6
    Card · Yellow Card
    Matija Mitrović
    GUI
RATING PEMAIN · TOP 5 SETIAP TIM 0–10 scale
GUIMARAES AVG 7.2
AROUCA AVG 7.4
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
2.2
xG
0.5
24.0
TOTAL SHOTS
4.0
3.0
ON TARGET
2.0
14.0
OFF TARGET
1.0
7.0
BLOCKED
1.0
POSSESSION
58.0%
POSSESSION %
42.0%
496.0
PASSES
375.0
87.0%
PASS ACCURACY
79.0%
SET PIECES
5.0
CORNERS
2.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
3.0
DISCIPLINE
8.0
FOULS
7.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
5.0
0.0
RED CARDS
1.0
1.0
GK SAVES
3.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
GUIMARAES 4 shots
Samu
0/1
Thiago Balieiro
0/1
Gonçalo Nogueira
0/1
João Mendes
1/1
AROUCA 2 shots
Ivan Barbero
1/1
Tiago Esgaio
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 2.22 – 0.49
1.8 1.3 0.9 0.4 2.2 0.0 HT 53' H 2.22 A 0.49 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps butuh broadcast partner (Q3)
H 39%
61% A
7
EVENT TERCATAT
11
EVENT TERCATAT
SUSUNAN PEMAIN 4-2-3-1 vs 4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
48
OLIWIER Z
 7.0
13
JOãO MEND
 7.2
28
THIAGO BA
4
ÓSCAR RIV
2
MIGUEL MA
 7.2
8
GONçALO N
 7.3
16
BENI MUKE
7
OUMAR CAM
 7.2
20
SAMU
11
GUSTAVO S
24
ALIOUNE N
 7.3
12
IGNACIO D
21
MATEO FLO
 7.7
3
JOSE FONT
 7.7
15
JAVI SáNC
 7.2
28
TIAGO ESG
8
TAICHI FU
6
ESPEN VAN
7
NAïS DJOU
14
HYUN-JU L
19
ALFONSO T
 7.3
17
IVAN BARB
SUBSTITUTES · GUIMARAES
44
Lohann Douce...
M
17
Miguel Nogue...
M
56
Santi Verdi
M
82
Francisco Di...
D
5
Franck Ahmed...
D
98
Lucas Furtad...
G
22
Juan Castill...
G
18
Telmo Arcanj...
M
23
Tony Strata
D
6
Matija Mitro...
M
COACH: Tiago Margarido
SUBSTITUTES · AROUCA
37
Mario Climen...
D
5
Boris Popovi...
D
24
Brian Mansil...
F
9
Fally Mayulu
F
71
Martim Duart...
G
1
Jakub Vinarč...
G
4
Diogo Montei...
D
10
Pablo Gozálb...
M
89
Pedro Santos
M
23
Dylan Nandín
F
18
Orest Lebede...
D
77
Si-hoo Park
F
COACH: Vasco Seabra
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
GUI · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

ARO · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
WASIT
Miguel Nogueira, Portugal
—
GUI MANAGER
Tiago Margarido
pelatih
ARO MANAGER
Vasco Seabra
pelatih
HEAD-TO-HEAD · SEPANJANG MASA
3
GUI WINS
4
SERI
3
ARO WINS
30%
40%
30%
16 – 17
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
3.30
RATA-RATA GOL / PERTANDINGAN
PERTEMUAN TERKINI SHOWING 5 / 10
8 Feb 2026
Arouca
3 – 2
Guimaraes
L
31 Agt 2025
Guimaraes
1 – 1
Arouca
D
19 Jan 2025
Guimaraes
2 – 2
Arouca
D
13 Agt 2024
Arouca
0 – 1
Guimaraes
W
18 Mei 2024
Arouca
1 – 3
Guimaraes
W
GUIMARAES 5 TERAKHIR KESELURUHAN
L L L W W
AROUCA 5 TERAKHIR KESELURUHAN
W W D L W
MATCH IMPACT Final 0–1 · result locked
GUIMARAES #9
Lost · already at 42 pts
AROUCA #8
Won · already at 42 pts
KONTEKS LIGA FULL TABLE →
# TIM P W D L GD PTS PERFORMA
1 FC Porto 34 28 4 2 +48 88
W L W W W
2 Sporting CP 34 25 7 2 +65 82
W W W D D
3 Benfica 34 23 11 0 +49 80
W D D W W
4 SC Braga 34 16 11 7 +28 59
D D D L W
5 Famalicao 34 15 11 8 +13 56
W D D W D
6 GIL Vicente 34 13 11 10 +9 50
L L D W L
7 Moreirense 34 12 7 15 -12 43
D L W L W
8 Arouca 34 12 6 16 -17 42
W W D L W
9 Guimaraes 34 12 6 16 -12 42
L L L W W
10 Estoril 34 10 9 15 -3 39
L D D L L
11 Alverca 34 10 9 15 -17 39
L D L W L
12 Rio Ave 34 8 12 14 -22 36
D L D L D
13 Santa Clara 34 9 9 16 -9 36
L W D W D
14 Nacional 34 9 7 18 -8 34
W L L W W
15 Estrela 34 6 12 16 -18 30
D D L L L
16 Casa Pia 34 6 12 16 -26 30
D W L L L
17 Tondela 34 6 10 18 -28 28
L W W D L
18 AVS 34 3 12 19 -40 21
D W W D D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+6
    Card · Yellow Card · Matija Mitrović
  • 90'+6
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Gustavo Silva
  • 90'+4
    Card · Yellow Card · Ignacio de Arruabarrena
  • 90'+3
    Card · Red Card · Diogo Monteiro
  • 90'+2
    Card · Yellow Card · Orest Lebedenko
  • 90'
    Card · Yellow Card · Diogo Monteiro
  • 78'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Gonçalo Nogueira
  • 78'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Alioune Ndoye
  • 73'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Javi Sánchez
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Espen Van Ee
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Hyun-ju Lee
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Oumar Camara
  • 69'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Miguel Maga
  • 69'
    Card · Yellow Card · Oumar Camara
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Ivan Barbero
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Mateo Flores
  • 64'
    Card · Yellow Card · Hyun-ju Lee
  • 53'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Ivan Barbero
14 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 14 BOOKMAKERS
GUIMARAES WIN
1.92
52.1% implied
↑ best 1.98
DRAW
3.47
28.8% implied
↑ best 3.65
AROUCA WIN
3.90
25.6% implied
↑ best 4.01

Market favors Guimaraes. AI projects GUIMARAES 45%.

ODDS PEMENANG PERTANDINGAN rata-rata dari bandar
AI BILANG GUIMARAES 45% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BANDAR 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.90 3.45 3.90 +9.0%
1xBet 1.98 3.62 4.01 +10.4%
888Sport 1.91 3.40 3.80 +8.6%
Bet365 1.91 3.40 4.00 +8.6%
Betano 1.93 3.50 4.00 +9.4%
Betfair 1.91 3.50 4.00 +9.4%
BetVictor 1.87 3.40 3.75 +8.6%
Dafabet 1.97 3.55 4.00 +9.8%
Marathonbet 1.90 3.48 3.86 +9.3%
Pinnacle 1.93 3.65 4.00 +10.6%
SBO 1.86 3.19 3.57 +6.7%
Superbet 1.95 3.50 3.90 +9.4%
Unibet 1.88 3.50 3.95 +9.4%
William Hill 1.91 3.40 3.80 +8.6%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

rata-rata dari bandar
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.28 U 3.48
2.5 O 1.91 U 1.87
3.5 O 3.24 U 1.31
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.75 11 bks
NO
1.97 11 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.20
Away -0.5 1.89
Away -0.75 1.66
Away -1 1.43
Away -1.25 1.34
Away -1.5 1.28
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

Bagaimana pasar bergeser sebelum kickoff

pergerakan line historis
7d ago 3d 1d KICKOFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.