GOALSENSE
MASUK
PREDIKSI AI Projects FT 1–1 · NACIONAL 45%
CONF 48 FULL ANALYSIS →
Primeira Liga · REGULAR SEASON - 34 · MIN, 17 MEI · 00:00 WIB LOCAL
NACIONAL
14TH · 34 PTS · LAST 5:
L L W W L
FT
2 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
GUIMARAES
L L W W D
· 9TH · 42 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 69' Jesús Ramírez ⚽ 86' Jesús Ramírez (P)
GOL
⚽ 78' Samu (P)
Jesús Ramírez
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Jesús Ramírez
Nacional · Captain · 92 mins
⚽ 2 goals · 9% pass acc · 3 shots on
RATING
8.3
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

0.93
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.38
34%
BALL POSSESSION %
66%
5
TOTAL SHOTS
13
3
SHOTS ON TARGET
4
67%
PASS ACCURACY %
83%
2
CORNERS
6
MOMEN PENTING 18 events
  1. 14'
    Card · Yellow Card
    R. Rocha
    GUI
  2. 25'
    Card · Yellow Card
    José Gomes
    NAC
  3. 32'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Witiness Quembo
    NAC
  4. 32'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Filipe Soares
    NAC
  5. 32'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Francisco Dias
    GUI
  6. 54'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Matheus Dias
    NAC
  7. 62'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Oumar Camara · assist Noah Saviolo
    GUI
  8. 69'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Jesús Ramírez · assist Witiness Quembo
    NAC
  9. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Witiness Quembo · assist Pablo Messias Cardozo
    NAC
  10. 78'
    Goal · Missed Penalty
    Samu · assist Samu
    GUI
  11. 80'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    R. Rocha · assist H. Nunes
    GUI
  12. 80'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Samu · assist Martim Guedes
    GUI
  13. 80'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Telmo Arcanjo · assist Miguel Nogueira
    GUI
  14. 84'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Martim Guedes
    GUI
  15. 86'
    Goal · Penalty
    Jesús Ramírez
    NAC
  16. 90'+1
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Chiheb Labidi · assist André Sousa
    NAC
  17. 90'+1
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Filipe Soares · assist Francisco Gonçalves
    NAC
  18. 90'+3
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Paulinho Bóia · assist João Aurélio
    NAC
RATING PEMAIN · TOP 5 SETIAP TIM 0–10 scale
NACIONAL AVG 7.5
GUIMARAES AVG 6.9
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
0.9
xG
1.4
5.0
TOTAL SHOTS
13.0
3.0
ON TARGET
4.0
1.0
OFF TARGET
5.0
1.0
BLOCKED
4.0
POSSESSION
34.0%
POSSESSION %
66.0%
206.0
PASSES
389.0
67.0%
PASS ACCURACY
83.0%
SET PIECES
2.0
CORNERS
6.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
2.0
DISCIPLINE
17.0
FOULS
11.0
4.0
YELLOW CARDS
3.0
5.0
GK SAVES
1.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
NACIONAL 4 shots
Jesús Ramírez
3/3
Filipe Soares
0/1
GUIMARAES 6 shots
Gustavo Silva
3/5
Rica Rocha
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 0.93 – 1.38
1.1 0.8 0.6 0.3 1.4 0.0 HT 69' 86' 78' H 0.93 A 1.38 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps butuh broadcast partner (Q3)
H 56%
44% A
10
EVENT TERCATAT
8
EVENT TERCATAT
SUSUNAN PEMAIN 4-3-3 vs 4-1-4-1
4-3-3
4-1-4-1
7.6
1
KAIQUE
5
JOSé GOME
38
ZE VITOR
34
LéO SANTO
16
ALAN NúñE
15
CHIHEB LA
6
MATHEUS D
 6.9
22
FILIPE SO
11
PAULINHO
 8.3
9
JESúS RAM
 6.9
7
WITINESS
27
CHARLES
82
FRANCISCO
26
RODRIGO A
 6.9
28
THIAGO BA
2
MIGUEL MA
 7.2
80
RICA ROCH
19
OUMAR CAM
20
SAMU
 6.9
30
GONçALO N
18
TELMO ARC
 6.6
11
GUSTAVO S
SUBSTITUTES · NACIONAL
30
Martim Gusta...
M
27
Gabriel Vero...
F
18
André Sousa
M
10
Daniel Júnio...
M
2
João Aurélio
D
33
Francisco Go...
D
50
Kevyn
G
99
Pablo Messia...
F
19
Lucas João
F
COACH: Tiago Margarido
SUBSTITUTES · GUIMARAES
46
Hugo Nunes
M
50
Martim Guede...
M
88
Miguel Nogue...
M
13
João Mendes
D
4
Óscar Rivas
D
66
Tony Strata
D
25
Juan Castill...
G
48
Noah Saviolo
F
33
Ejike Opara
F
COACH: Gil Lameiras
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
NAC · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

GUI · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
WASIT
Ricardo Baixinho, Portugal
—
NAC MANAGER
Tiago Margarido
pelatih
GUI MANAGER
Gil Lameiras
pelatih
HEAD-TO-HEAD · SEPANJANG MASA
3
NAC WINS
2
SERI
5
GUI WINS
30%
20%
50%
14 – 17
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
3.10
RATA-RATA GOL / PERTANDINGAN
PERTEMUAN TERKINI SHOWING 5 / 10
3 Jan 2026
Guimaraes
2 – 1
Nacional
L
3 Mei 2025
Nacional
1 – 2
Guimaraes
L
24 Des 2024
Guimaraes
2 – 2
Nacional
D
27 Apr 2021
Nacional
1 – 0
Guimaraes
W
22 Jan 2021
Guimaraes
3 – 1
Nacional
L
NACIONAL 5 TERAKHIR KESELURUHAN
L L W W L
GUIMARAES 5 TERAKHIR KESELURUHAN
L L W W D
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–0 · result locked
NACIONAL #14
Won · already at 34 pts
GUIMARAES #9
Lost · already at 42 pts
KONTEKS LIGA FULL TABLE →
# TIM P W D L GD PTS PERFORMA
1 FC Porto 34 28 4 2 +48 88
W L W W W
2 Sporting CP 34 25 7 2 +65 82
W W W D D
3 Benfica 34 23 11 0 +49 80
W D D W W
4 SC Braga 34 16 11 7 +28 59
D D D L W
5 Famalicao 34 15 11 8 +13 56
W D D W D
6 GIL Vicente 34 13 11 10 +9 50
L L D W L
7 Moreirense 34 12 7 15 -12 43
D L W L W
8 Arouca 34 12 6 16 -17 42
W W D L W
9 Guimaraes 34 12 6 16 -12 42
L L L W W
10 Estoril 34 10 9 15 -3 39
L D D L L
11 Alverca 34 10 9 15 -17 39
L D L W L
12 Rio Ave 34 8 12 14 -22 36
D L D L D
13 Santa Clara 34 9 9 16 -9 36
L W D W D
14 Nacional 34 9 7 18 -8 34
W L L W W
15 Estrela 34 6 12 16 -18 30
D D L L L
16 Casa Pia 34 6 12 16 -26 30
D W L L L
17 Tondela 34 6 10 18 -28 28
L W W D L
18 AVS 34 3 12 19 -40 21
D W W D D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+3
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Paulinho Bóia
  • 90'+1
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Filipe Soares
  • 90'+1
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Chiheb Labidi
  • 86'
    Goal · Penalty · Jesús Ramírez
  • 84'
    Card · Yellow Card · Martim Guedes
  • 80'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Telmo Arcanjo
  • 80'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Samu
  • 80'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · R. Rocha
  • 78'
    Goal · Missed Penalty · Samu
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Witiness Quembo
  • 69'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Jesús Ramírez
  • 62'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Oumar Camara
  • 54'
    Card · Yellow Card · Matheus Dias
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 0
  • 32'
    Card · Yellow Card · Francisco Dias
  • 32'
    Card · Yellow Card · Filipe Soares
  • 32'
    Card · Yellow Card · Witiness Quembo
  • 25'
    Card · Yellow Card · José Gomes
  • 14'
    Card · Yellow Card · R. Rocha
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
NACIONAL WIN
2.02
49.5% implied
↑ best 2.12
DRAW
3.35
29.9% implied
↑ best 3.55
GUIMARAES WIN
3.64
27.5% implied
↑ best 3.91

Market favors Nacional. AI projects NACIONAL 45%.

ODDS PEMENANG PERTANDINGAN rata-rata dari bandar
AI BILANG NACIONAL 45% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BANDAR 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.99 3.35 3.75 +0.3%
1xBet 2.12 3.45 3.70 0.0%
Bet365 2.00 3.30 3.70 0.0%
Betano 2.02 3.30 3.90 +1.4%
Betfair 2.00 3.30 3.75 +0.3%
BetVictor 1.95 3.40 3.50 -1.4%
Dafabet 2.06 3.45 3.75 +0.3%
Marathonbet 2.04 3.32 3.56 -1.1%
Pinnacle 2.05 3.38 3.91 +1.4%
SBO 2.00 3.22 3.14 -3.1%
Unibet 2.04 3.55 3.40 -0.2%
William Hill 1.95 3.20 3.60 -0.8%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

rata-rata dari bandar
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.26 U 3.60
2.5 O 1.86 U 1.92
3.5 O 3.09 U 1.34
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.69 9 bks
NO
2.06 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.07
Away -0.5 1.77
Away -0.75 1.55
Away -1 1.35
Away -1.25 1.28
Away -1.5 1.24
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

Bagaimana pasar bergeser sebelum kickoff

pergerakan line historis
7d ago 3d 1d KICKOFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.