Liga 1 · REGULAR SEASON - 30 · SEL, 28 APR · 15:30 WIB LOCAL
← Match Page
AREMA FC
FT
0 4
FULL TIME
PERSEBAYA SURABAYA
GOL
⚽ 50' F. Rivera ⚽ 76' Jefferson ⚽ 76' Bruno ⚽ 82' F. Rivera ⚽ 86' M. Tata
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 48/100 MED
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
ARE
1 1
PER
most likely scoreline · 14.8% probability
PILIHAN AI AREMA FC TO WIN 48%
FT 0 – 4
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 1 – 1
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

BAGAIMANA AI LIHAT PERTANDINGAN

FINAL · VERIFIED
ARE WIN 48%
SERI 26%
PER WIN 26%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
DOUBLE CHANCE — 1X

Tight 1X2 — single-side too risky. Double chance covers 74% of outcomes with smaller payout.

CONF 74% avoid: 1X2 single 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Evenly matched mid-table sides; Persebaya's better league position offset by Arema's home form.

🤖 AI REASONING kenapa AI pilih ini
WHY AREMA FC FAVORED
48%
Persebaya 6pts higher in table (45 vs 39) but Arema won last home match
+25.0%
SportMonks home-win estimate (48.7%) matches market-implied (43.1%) after adjustment for bookmaker margin
+20.0%
Recent form thin (only 2-3 games per team) — high model uncertainty
+15.0%
WHY PERSEBAYA SURABAYA CHALLENGED
26%
Persebaya 6pts higher in table (45 vs 39) but Arema won last home match
+25.0%
SportMonks home-win estimate (48.7%) matches market-implied (43.1%) after adjustment for bookmaker margin
+20.0%
Recent form thin (only 2-3 games per team) — high model uncertainty
+15.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • Persebaya 6pts higher in table (45 vs 39) but Arema won last home match
  • SportMonks home-win estimate (48.7%) matches market-implied (43.1%) after adjustment for bookmaker margin
  • Recent form thin (only 2-3 games per team) — high model uncertainty
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

TIMELINE PROBABILITAS

Bagaimana AI re-proyeksi setelah setiap event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT 50' F. RIVERA 76' JEFFERSON 76' BRUNO 82' F. RIVERA 86' M. TATA
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 5 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

PROBABILITAS SCORELINE

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 14.8%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
13.5
12.3
5.6
1.7
0.4
0.1
·
1
14.8
13.4
6.1
1.9
0.4
0.1
·
2
8.0
7.3
3.3
1.0
0.2
·
·
3
2.9
2.7
1.2
0.4
0.1
·
·
4
0.8
0.7
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
1 — 0 14.8%
0 — 0 13.5%
1 — 1 13.4%
0 — 1 12.3%
2 — 0 8.0%
Top 5 = 62.1% · rest 37.9%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

PILIHAN UNGGULAN AI

Di mana AI lihat keuntungan vs odds bandar
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
PASARODDSPROBABILITAS AIFAIRKEUNTUNGAN
HOME to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.26
48.0%
2.08
+8.4%
HOME or Draw (1X)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.33
74.0%
1.35
-1.7%
Both Teams Score — YES
8 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.62
58.0%
1.72
-6.3%
HOME or AWAY (12)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.26
74.0%
1.35
-6.6%
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.79
52.0%
1.92
-7.2%
Draw
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.24
26.0%
3.85
-15.7%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.54
52.0%
1.92
-20.2%
AWAY to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.87
26.0%
3.85
-25.5%
18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are bukan jaminan. Bet responsibly.